what teams going to make the playoffs in the afc 2018
Our weekly NFL projections volition be coming at you with a twist this week.
Instead of just projecting the 12-team playoff field, nosotros're as well going to list the playoff chances for all 32 teams. Since no team has officially been eliminated yet, everyone still technically has a shot to get to the postseason, well, except for the Bills. They're literally the only squad in the NFL that is being given a zero percent chance to make the playoffs by our projection figurer (That doesn't mean they've been eliminated from playoff contention, it just means that the reckoner thinks their playoff chances are dead).
Speaking of the computer, these playoff projections will be based on data from number-cruncher Stephen Oh of SportsLine.com. Basically, Oh plugged some numbers into his SportsLine figurer this week and simulated the rest of the NFL season, and using those numbers, we're going to permit yous know the playoff chances for all 32 teams, plus the projected 12-team playoff field.
Alright, let'due south go to this week's playoff projections, well, except for Bills fans. Since the computer has lost all hope in your team, here'southward a mock draft for you to read, that will be way more exciting.
Note: Recall, this is a projection based on how we think the balance of the regular season will play out. If y'all want to see the current playoff standings, click here to come across Will Brinson's thorough breakdown of what the playoff race looks like as we caput into Week 11.
AFC Playoff Projection
Projected wins in parentheses
1. Kansas Metropolis Chiefs: (13.ii wins) AFC West Champs
With a 2-game lead over the Patriots for the height seed in the AFC, the computer thinks that Kansas City'due south biggest threat might terminate up existence the Chargers. With seven weeks left to play in the regular flavor, the Chiefs are being given an 81.2 per centum chance to win the AFC West while the Chargers are being given an eighteen.2 pct shot. The AFC Westward title is a big deal, because if the Chiefs falter down the stretch, they could tumble from the top seed in the AFC downward to the fifth seed. The Chiefs and Chargers still have to play each other one more time and that will come in the final Thursday nighttime game of the twelvemonth in Week 15.
two. New England Patriots: (11.5) AFC East Champs
Despite existence blown out past the Titans, the reckoner still views the Patriots as the team with the all-time chance to represent the AFC in the Super Basin. The Patriots are beingness given a 31.26 percent chance to be the AFC's Super Bowl team, while the Chiefs are a smidgeon back at 30.65 percent.
3. Pittsburgh Steelers: (10.1) AFC North Champs
Afterward slaughtering the Panthers in Calendar week 10, the computer now basically views the Steelers as a lock to brand the playoffs. The Steelers are being given a 92.vii percent chance of making the postseason and an 88.1 per centum chance of making the playoffs equally the division winner out of the AFC North. Apparently, the computer is completely OK with the fact that Le'Veon Bell decided not to play this year.
iv. Houston Texans: (ix.8) AFC South Champs
The Texans might be on a 6-game winning streak, but the estimator manifestly doesn't like them anymore. The Texans fell from the third spot to the fourth spot in this week's projections, even though they didn't even play in Week 10. The good news for the Texans is that the figurer loves their chances of making the playoffs (76.6 per centum). On the other hand, the estimator isn't and so certain they're going to win the AFC South. Although the Texans are beingness given a 50.7 percent chance to win the partitioning, the reckoner views the Titans (35.3 percent) as a serious threat.
v. Los Angeles Chargers: (xi.five) Wild Card
Thanks to the Patriots loss in Tennessee on Sunday, the Chargers are now being projected to finish with the 2d best tape in the AFC. Of course, the problem for the Chargers is that the Chiefs are being projected equally the summit squad in the AFC, which means having the second-best record basically means nada, considering the Chargers are nevertheless going to accept to play on the road in a wild-carte game.
half-dozen. Tennessee Titans: (eight.nine) Wild Bill of fare
This is the 3rd calendar week of our playoff projections, and for the tertiary week in a row, we have a new team in the AFC's final playoff spot. First, we had the Ravens. And so, we had the Bengals, and now, we have the Titans. After shocking the Patriots on Sunday, the Titans vaulted into this spot, and the crazy thing is that the calculator actually likes them here. The Titans accept a 46.half-dozen percent gamble of making the playoffs, which is 20 percent more than than any other squad on the exterior looking in. The computer views the Colts (24.3 per centum), Bengals (23.iv pct) and Ravens (16.5 percent) as the biggest threats to the Titans' spot. Oh, and the Titans play the Colts this week, so the calculator might have to re-project things if Indy wins.
Just missed: Colts (eight.ane), Bengals (8.0), Ravens (7.8).
Here's a list of all the other AFC teams (their per centum chances of getting into the playoffs is listed next to them in parentheses): Dolphins (xi.six pct), Jaguars (three.0 percent), Browns (1.six pecent), Broncos (1.5 percent), Jets (0.2 percent), Raiders (0.1 percentage), Bills (0.0 percent).
I'll be honest, I don't know why the Raiders have slightly amend playoff chances than the Bills, but I've learned not to question the calculator anymore, then nosotros're just going to coil with information technology.
NFC Playoff Project
1. Los Angeles Rams: (13.2 wins) NFC West Champs
The computer was NOT impressed past the Rams shaky win over the Seahawks on Sunday. Although the figurer still sees them finishing the season as the NFC's summit seed, the Rams are viewed as just the fourth all-time squad in the NFL, backside the Saints, Chiefs and Patriots.
ii. New Orleans Saints: (12.8) NFC Southward Champs
You know who was really impressed by the Saints 51-14 win over the Bengals? The computer. Although the Saints are projected to become the second seed in the NFC, the computer really at present views them every bit the all-time overall squad in the NFL. Not only are the Saints now viewed as the most likely squad to win the NFC title game, but they're as well existence given the all-time chance to take abode the Lombardi Bays. The Saints are being given a xx.98 percentage gamble of winning the Super Basin, which is higher than the Rams (17.47 pct), Patriots (17.21 per centum) and Chiefs (sixteen.58 percent).
3. Chicago Bears: (9.9) NFC North Champs
The Bears aren't a lock to win the division nonetheless, but the computer loves their chances of making the playoffs. SportsLine is giving the Bears an 80.ix percent gamble of getting into the postseason. Equally far equally the division goes, the estimator thinks that the race is down to the Bears (60.8 percent chance to win the NFC Northward) and the Vikings (25.2 per centum). If the Bears beat the Vikings on Dominicus, the reckoner volition likely view them every bit a lock to win the division.
iv. Washington Redskins: (9.4) NFC East Champs
The computer might only be the Redskins biggest fan this year. SportsLine has been projecting for the past two weeks that Washington would win the NFC East and now the projection is moving closer to lock territory. With the Redskins now belongings a two-game lead over both the Cowboys and Eagles, the computer is giving Washington a 71.half dozen percent hazard of winning the division and a 79.9 per centum take chances of making the postseason. Of form, the figurer isn't factoring in the years of heartbreak and suffering that Redskins fans accept gone through, so y'all probably shouldn't get ownership your playoff tickets just nonetheless if you lot're a Redskins fan.
5. Carolina Panthers: (nine.2) Wild Carte du jour
The Panthers got beat downwards by the Steelers in Week 10, but the proficient news for Carolina is that the computer didn't really seem to intendance. The Panthers were locked into the fifth slot in the NFC earlier the loss and they're notwithstanding locked into it now. Every bit for Carolina'south chances to win the division, SportsLine was already projecting the Saints to run away with the NFC South and then the loss to Pittsburgh didn't change things. Currently, the Panthers are being given just a four.8 per centum hazard to win the division.
6. Minnesota Vikings: (8.4) Wild Menu
The Vikings didn't even play in Calendar week 10, but they were still the biggest winners in this week'due south projection. Thank you to Seattle's loss in Los Angeles, Minnesota is now projected to be the 2d wild bill of fare team out of the NFC. Unlike the Seahawks, the reckoner actually likes the Vikings and is giving them a 51.1 percent chance of making the postseason. No other team in the NFC Is even being given a 40 percent take a chance with the computer viewing the Packers (35.1 percent), Seahawks (33.1 percent), Eagles (20.four percent) and Cowboys (nineteen.8 percents) as the biggest threats to Minnesota.
But missed: Seahawks (viii.ii), Packers (seven.8), Cowboys (vii.eight), Eagles (7.6)
Hither's a list of all the other NFC teams (their percentage chances of getting into the playoffs is listed side by side to them in parentheses): Falcons (17.9 percentage), Lions (2.6 percent), Buccaneers (1.one percent), 49ers (0.i percent), Cardinals (0.one percent), Giants (0.1 percentage).
Wild-Bill of fare Round Projection
AFC
(6) Titans at (3) Steelers
(5) Chargers at (4) Texans
Byes: Chiefs, Patriots
NFC
(six) Vikings at (3) Bears
(v) Panthers at (4) Redskins
Byes: Rams, Saints
Source: https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/2018-nfl-playoff-picture-here-are-the-projected-postseason-chances-for-all-32-teams-heading-into-week-11/
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